UK National Lotto #1610

Winning numbers drawn at 8.30pm BST on Saturday 28th May 2011:

02 03 17 23 40 43 (31)

The table below is courtesy of Camelot's phone line (0845 9100 000 *10).

Category      Prize       Winners       Total        Percentages
Jackpot     £2,062,518           2    £4,125,036      30.3%
5+bonus        £90,660          14    £1,269,240       9.3%
5 match         £1,421         558      £792,918       5.8%
4 match            £57      30,375    £1,731,375      12.7%
3 match            £10     570,973    £5,709,730      41.9%
Totals                     601,922   £13,628,299     100.0%

Category                  Change       Figure        Percentages
Ticket sales  (Sat)      0.4% rise   £30,316,652     64.8% of Sat+Wed  sales
Ticket sales  (Wed)      0.8% fall   £16,456,145     35.2% of Sat+Wed  sales
Ticket sales  (S+W)      0.0% fall   £46,772,797

Lotto HotPicks #928 results:

Category        Prize         Winners        Total     Percentages
Pick 5          £130,000            1       £130,000       8.8%
Pick 4            £7,000           38       £266,000      17.9%
Pick 3              £450        1,405       £632,250      42.6%
Pick 2               £40       10,517       £420,680      28.3%
Pick 1                £5        6,981        £34,905       2.4%
Totals                         18,942     £1,483,835     100.0%

The average Lotto HotPicks prize was £78.34.

The next table displays the draw order, revised frequencies and the last prior appearance of each of the 7 balls.

                    Updated Frequencies       Since Last Appeared
Drawn   Order      Main    Bonus   Total    Main    Bonus    Either
1st       02       203      24      227       7       38        7 
2nd       17       199      36      235       1       20        1 
3rd       43       218      34      252      13       26       13 
4th       03       196      37      233       7        6        6 
5th       23       218      36      254       2      129        2 
6th       40       212      24      236      12       22       12 
Bonus     31       214      41      255      18       35       18 
Total    159      1460     232     1692      60      276       59
Avg.      22.7     208.6    33.1    241.7     8.6     39.4      8.4

Comments:

The draw used ball set 3 in the Arthur machine and the average main Lotto prize was £22.64. One in every 50.4 main Lotto tickets won a prize (=1.99% of players).
If all 13,983,816 ticket combinations were additionally purchased for the main Lotto game, they would have made a loss of £9,770,567.
The prior history of the main Lotto jackpot ticket included 44 wins totalling £915.
From Saturday 12th July 2003 onwards, Camelot has completely refused to issue per-draw sales figures for any of their individual games, despite continuously doing so for more than 8 years prior to that date. They blamed the media for only concentrating on the main Lotto game sales (which have been falling steadily for years), which seems to be a poor excuse to me. However, games with variable prize tiers such as the main Lotto can have their sales figures reverse-calculated to within a few pounds, which is what I have done.

For the third consecutive draw, Camelot used the pre-draw jackpot pool estimate (£4,400,000) as their "exact" post-draw jackpot pool. As usual, the estimate failed to match the prize calculation formula and here's the correct way to calculate it:

Ticket sales:      30,316,652.00    Estimated by forward-calculating 3-match to 5+bonus and
                                    adjusting ticket sales until they fit the formula
Total prize pool:  13,642,493.40    45% of ticket sales rounded down to nearest 10p
3-match pool:       5,709,730.00    3-match prize pool (10 * 3-match winners)
Pools fund:         7,932,763.40    45% of sales - 3-match prize pool
6-match pool:       4,125,036.97    52% of pools fund
6-match prize:      2,062,518.00    2 6-match winners, prize = (int)(pool/2)
5+bonus pool:       1,269,242.14    16% of pools fund
5+bonus prize:         90,660.00    14 5+bonus winners, prize = (int)(pool/14)
5-match pool:         793,276.34    10% of pools fund
5-match prize:          1,421.00    558 5-match winners, prize = (int)(pool/558)
4-match pool:       1,745,207.95    22% of pools fund
4-match prize:             57.00    30,375 4-match winners, prize = (int)(pool/30375)

As you can from the bolded prize figures above, they all tally with the ones given out by Camelot, so my sales and 6-match prize estimates are pretty accurate - if I vary either of them by more than £5 or so, they don't match the formula any more. The latest news from Camelot is that they are sitll investigating the discrepancy (and I'm not the only one who's e-mailed them about it).

Unclaimed prizes from this week expired at 5.30pm GMT on Thursday 24th November 2011 and have been added to the National Lottery Distribution Fund.

Next Lotto: #1611 (Wednesday 1st June 2011) [2 jackpot winners]
Previous Lotto: #1609 (Wednesday 25th May 2011) [1 jackpot winner]

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Auto-generated at 10.28am BST on Thursday 16th July 2020